UFC 109 Preview and Predictions

Randy Couture vs. Mark Coleman

This fight is a historical match-up between two active UFC hall of famers.  Both fighters are well into their forties, but they are still active in the sport.  This is a fight that was set to go down 10 years ago, but it never came to fruition.  The two former champions and world class wrestlers will duke it out Saturday for a spot near the top of the UFC light heavyweight rankings.

If we were to measure wrestling ability it would be hard to make a case one way or the other as both guys are great wrestlers.  Coleman wrestled with Ohio State back in the day and Couture wrestled for Oklahoma State.

In my opinion, this fight is even in many ways and will come down to cardio.  Randy Couture has a definite cardio advantage.  I assume that he will look to push the pace and wear out Coleman.  However, Randy has to be careful of the power of Coleman.

I pick Randy Couture by decision.

Nate Marquardt vs. Chael Sonnen

This bout has been labeled a number one contender’s bout.  The winner of this fight will face the winner of the Anderson Silva vs. Chael Sonnen bout.

Sonnen the former WEC fighter has a load of talent, and certainly will have the wrestling edge.  Chael Sonnen is much improved and he looked great in his last two fights against Yushin Okami and Dan Miller.

Marquardt has also looked impressive lately.  His last time out his had an impressive KO victory over Demian Maia.  Marquardt has shown great improvement in his striking.

I gotta go with Marquardt in this one by 3rd round TKO.

Mike Swick vs. Paulo Thiago

Swick steps in a late replacement to face the tough Paulo Thiago.  Swick will be the third AKA welterweight that Thiago has faced.  It was his shocking KO over Josh Koscheck that propelled him into the top of the UFC welterweight division.  Thiago, the Brazilian special forces cop, is a great grappler with some serious power in his hands.

Swick is coming off of a sloppy loss to Dan Hardy.  Swick continues to insist that he is a better fighter than Hardy.  With his title chances pushed back, Swick needs a win to stay relevant.

In the end I think Swick rebounds and gets the win by decision.

Demian Maia vs. Dan Miller

This is a tough fight to predict.  Demian Maia is probably the best jiu jitsu fighter to ever transition to MMA.  He has looked amazing inside the ocatgon.  However, he showed that his striking is not yet up to par as he was on the receiving end of a one punch knockout from Nate Marquardt.  mai, however is always more than dangerous on the ground.

Miller is a very well-rounded fighter.  He too is a jiu jitsu black belt.  He certainly is not even in Maia’s league on the ground, but he may be the best jiu jitsu guy Maia has faced.  Also, Miller has good striking skills.  Miller has not fought since he lost to Sonnen way back at UFC 98.

I think Maia picks up a submission in the first round.

Frank Trigg vs. Matt Serra

A battle of two welterweights who are fighting for their jobs.  Both of these guys probably have their best days behind them and have little shot at runs at a title, but the fight should be exciting.  On top of that there is no love lost between the two as the trash talk has been great.

Trigg is best known for his two fights against Matt Hughes in which he came close to capturing UFC gold.  Trigg is a very well rounded guy who has heavy hands.  The veteran of the sport has the ability to hang with the best…still.

Serra’s claim to fame is not just winning the Ultimate Fighter 4: Comeback, but shocking the world by defeating Georges St. Pierre to become the UFC champ.  However, Serra has not won since, making many think his win over St. Pierre was  a fluke.

With all that said, I think Serra edges out a decision.

Undercard Predictions:

Melvin Guillard vs. Ronnys Torres – Torres by submission
Mac Danzig vs. Justin Buchholz – Danzig by decision
Brian Stann vs. Phil Davis – Davis by decision
Rolles Gracie vs. Joey Beltran – Gracie by submission
Tim Hague vs. Chris Tuchscherer – Tuchsherer by TKO in Rd 3
Rob Emerson vs. Philippe Nover – Nover by Decision

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This entry was posted in Brian Stann, Chael Sonnen, Chris Tuchscherer, Dan Miller, Demian Maia, Frank Trigg, Joey Beltran, Justin Buchholz, Mac Danzig, Mark Coleman, Matt Serra, Mike Swick, Nate Quarry, Paulo Thiago, Phil Davis, Phillipe Nover, Randy Couture, Rob Emerson, Rolles Gracie, Ronys Torres, Tim Hague, UFC 109: Relentless and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.